Thursday 8 March 2012

Defenders or Criminals


For quite a long time the educated and learned sections of the Muslim and other Third world countries have been blaming their uniformed warriors and sincere guardians for most of the political paradoxes being created in their countries.  The problem is particularly prominent in Muslim countries and in Africa, where a small misalignment in management of the affairs of the country by the civilian government is sometimes considered a pretext convincing enough to send the politicians to gallows (or jail in fortunate cases) and form a set of ‘Patriotic’ armed forces personnel to exercise executive authority. The democratically elected representatives have their struggles and beliefs shattered to the ground and the groan of ‘My dear Countrymen……’ sounds as the soldiers capture the very capital they were assigned to defend and desecrate the very constitution they were expected to uplift. This entire hullabaloo is out of nothing but one of the most forged, misused and impure concept ‘The Doctrine of Necessity’.


 It takes years of painful struggle, monetarily as well as physically, to become a politician in such countries, as in most cases the people are illiterate and have to be convinced not by educated reason and genuine argument, but by hope of basic necessities. Yet if an environment is somehow generated in which these politicians are unable to deliver, the people slowly become frustrated with the system which results in a showdown of unelected and unscrupulous men who use the system in all ways beneficial for themselves only while becoming successful in convincing the masses and some turncoat politicians that the coup was necessary for the constitution somehow. Now this becomes important that we investigate that how these law breakers are able to convince the people that they are accepted as the guardians of the law and constitution they themselves broke. We must ascertain the factors which give the Generals courage enough to uproot the whole system while being labelled ‘Leaders’ at the same time.


In today’s world where systematic forgery by the media is something regular and unstoppable to some extent, it is very easy for these ‘unwelcomed guests’ in the government to convince the people in their favour by printing out in the media some of the embezzlements of the ex-rulers of the country and telling the people about the corruption and mishandling of the government before which is actually inevitable in every system. People start to look upon the technocrats and military rulers as a safe haven away from the clutches of corrupt politicians, while ignoring that the political elite formed by the army are largely from the same old chunk that failed to provide anything to them, and that the system is working in the same way, except for the faces. So it can be well understood that the military coups have a well groomed media support with them or in some cases, certain sections of media actually create an environment in which existing governments are labelled as incapable to provide anything but chaos and as a consequence, a clandestine innuendo is put forward for the uniformed people to come and do the dirty drama.

But there is a genuine question that arises here. Although the public mind can be moulded in any way by the political or extra political forces in modern era, one observation that is factual yet not easily explainable is that how come when the dictators come to power, the same poor, rag tag country becomes embellished with fruit of happiness and how the same economy which was ineffective to the verge of bankruptcy becomes capable rising once again? Almost every third world after the advent of dictatorial regimes did show exceptional streamlining in its economic prowess and ability of good governance. For example, Pakistan showed extra ordinary growth rate only in two periods, one during the 1960s in Gen Ayyub Khan’s era (a Military dictator) and the other during the first decade of 21st century in the recent Musharraf regime (Military dictator).

Military coups are not just indigenous uprisings. They are wrongfully thought to be as a ‘last attempt by army to save the country’. Military coups are planned outside whereas propagated clandestinely into country and executed by those inside the country. The generals who go for a military coup are never sincere with the people. While the planning is in progress, a full-fledged business deal is normally cut between the soon-to-be leaders and the big powers which support them. This deal comprises of the dictators giving control of natural resources, reforming and reshaping the country and fomenting the type of strategic environment the big powers involved want. In turn, these dictators get a ‘clean chit’ by being assured of no UN action, personal security and unlimited military support in terms of hardware at the expense of public money. While these puppets are making these deals, they definitely know that they will not survive if they turned against their masters (happened to Gaddafi and Saddam), so they keep on licking their feet for the rest of their lives, while vandalising and choking their own countries in many ways. These big powers keep on providing them with necessary economic support so that they may get their strategic advantage and while everyone in the power structure is busy doing business, the people of the country pay-off dearly due to foreign-bought indoctrinations and other foreign meddling.

It is obligatory that people realize that their military mentors whom most of them cherish and adore as guardians of Nation are not that scrupulous after all. The uniformed puppets are indeed more dangerous than rogue politicians because they come with utmost impunity and are unquestionable for their actions. In fact, army generals get a chance to over throw the civilian governments because the people love the armed forces too much or say worship them like a sacred cow. People will have to realize that in the silent outdoors of the cantonments constructed with their very money, talks and conversations are held by the uniformed clowns who are exceptionally out of context and domain of their constitutional duties. People have to come to terms with their own good conscience and start realizing that a soldier fighting on the front is normally shown on the media wall papers to convince them for the supremacy of the Generals who are playing politics of Land ownership and political prowess. All uniformed puppets in the Muslim countries namely Reza Shah Pehelvi of Iran, Saddam Hussain of Iraq, Hafez Assad of Syria, Ayyub Khan, Zia ulHaq and Musharraf of Pakistan, Hosni Mubarak of Egypt and many others were successful because people of Muslim countries love their armies and soldiers overwhelmingly. People must learn how to optimize their love for the soldier with their love for humanity, principles, constitution and law. They should support the warriors who ensure their safety but those men who in the disguise of being the heads of sacred organizations try to obliterate in any way, the rule of law or the structure of the country, try to bring in external influence and agencies and try to sow some incurable cancers in the country, must be dealt with like criminals. They are criminals of the nation and must be taken care of, not supported, no matter what is the environment at hand.

Saturday 3 March 2012

Iran 2012 isn’t Iraq 1981

An American's perspective

“I don’t bluff,” is the latest volley of ever-heightening rhetoric involving Iran’s nuclear power and/or weapons program. President Obama, his tough talk pointed toward Tehran follows strong suspicions, if not confirmation that Iran is enriching uranium to the level required for mass destruction in addition to developing missiles to deliver warheads. The recent missile tests were a tip-off. An overreaction at this critical juncture by the western allies (Israel) in this situation may very well lead to an outcome far worse than if Iran were to become the tenth nation to possess “the bomb.” The dangers of “mad mullahs” possessing a thermonuclear device along with the means to deliver it to enemy lands (Israel) have everyone on edge, maybe Iranians most of all.

The economic sanctions applied by the U.S. and Europe have crippled the Iranian economy and more are threatened. So far the standoff of the prideful leaders has only hurt the citizens of these nations. Iran’s cost of living has skyrocketed, the value of its currency plummeted. Due to the volatility of the situation, oil speculators have pushed the price of gasoline up which is causing a domino effect on already fragile western economies. None of these hardships are being felt by those playing this global chess match.


Israel feels justifiably threatened by the prospect of a nuclear capable Iran and by the noise level of its rattling saber apparently believes it can repeat the 1981 bombing run on Iraq’s nuclear facilities or 2007’s attack on a Syrian reactor, neither of which were heard from again, nice and neat. The U.N. and U.S. publically condemned Israel’s actions in Iraq while not so privately celebrating the action. This time Israel doesn’t have a hit and run option. Among other issues, the U.S. made GBU-28 bunker-buster bomb in Israel’s arsenal cannot penetrate anything and everything such as the 75 yards of stone encasing the centrifuges of the Fordow facility near Qom located about an hour’s drive south of Tehran. The Jerusalem Post quoted U.S. officials as saying Fordow is a “zone of immunity,” a rather eloquent way of admitting it’s safe from attack.

Iran is currently holding talks with UN inspectors and North Korea announced it is suspending its nuclear ambitions. Maybe economic sanctions do work. Worst case scenario is the tenth country obtains “the bomb” while the west and its allies (Israel) do nothing. Iran is an ancient society, its people cultured and intelligent, more than enough so to realize using this weapon on another nation would be suicide. They also realize Saudi Arabia would be compelled to follow suit as deterrence. Iran would be no more powerful in real terms and many more nuclear missiles would point its direction.

According to British foreign secretary William Hague a military raid would have “enormous downsides” in an apparent bid for understatement of the year. Sometimes the best course of action is to take no action at all outside employing diplomatic and economic tools. The decision making process in any circumstance involves weighing actions against consequences. In this case aggressive, military actions would certainly cause grave consequences, the scope of which can only be imagined. No action may be the best course of action. “I don’t bluff” was a strong message sent to Israel more so than Iran. Obama’s telling Israel not to act unilaterally. This isn’t 1981 or Iraq. A one-time strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities won’t produce the same results and Israel would be well advised to understand the distinction.

Lee Strain is an American freelance writer. Find more articles by him at Because it needs saying.

Friday 2 March 2012

Balochistan: The Forgotten Land


On 8th February there was a congressional hearing on Balochistan in USA. This hearing stirred a controversy in Pakistan, whether this was interference in the internal affairs of Pakistan or should it be taken positively. Before the dust was settled, some US lawmakers introduced a resolution that called for an independent Balochistan. This was beyond the threshold of tolerance for a common Pakistani and apparently for the government as well. People poured into the streets to condemn the resolution and urged the US politicians to mind their own business, and if they really have too much idle time, why not pass it by bringing resolutions about the sovereignty of Palestine and Kashmir. Its very obvious that Kashmir and Palestine need more attention than Balochistan. On the other hand the Pakistani government tried its best not to disappoint its people. The foreign minister Hina Rabbani Khar repeatedly condemned the resolution and government started counter lobbying in USA to nullify the effects of the resolution, that eventually resulted in the distancing of US government from it and an assurance by American delegates to Pakistani prime minister that both the American political parties were not in the favor of the resolution.

Apart from its negative effects on the already tense relations between USA and Pakistan, the resolution had some positive outcomes as well.

The Balochistan issue has never been discussed so much in the Pakistani media. This resolution brought the issue to light and also warned the people of Pakistan that the situation in Balochistan is much worse than what they are made to think by their government. It also pressurized the Pakistani government to take immediate steps in order to contain the situation.

But is the government taking any steps that would really contain the situation?

The immediate reaction from the Pakistani interior minister Rehman Malik was to announce the withdrawal of cases against Baloch tribal chiefs including Barahamdakh Bugti and Harbiyar Marri. Some welcomed the decision and others criticized it. Its clearly a wise idea to withdraw cases against Baloch chiefs in order to encourage them to return from their exile and take part in the political process instead of resorting to armed conflict with Pakistan army. But do these chiefs really represent the Baloch people? A common Baloch himself thinks that they do represent him, but what have these chiefs ever done for the people of Balochistan? Why should Baloch people trust them? They’re not democratically elected representatives; they are tribal chiefs who assume the representation of their tribe just because their father was a chief. The approach of Pakistani government to quell the rebellion in Balochistan by bribing the chiefs might cool down the situation for the time being, but in the long run the problem will get even worse because the problems are with the people of Balochistan not with these tribal chiefs.

According to a study by Dr Talat Anwar, rural poverty in Balochistan increased by 15% between 1999 and 2005. The maternal mortality ratio is 650 per 100,000 live births in Balochistan - nearly two times the national average. The province has the lowest literacy rate in the country and highest rates of poverty and unemployment. Apart from this the major tragedy is the extra judicial killings of civilians by Pakistani armed forces. These are the problems that need to be dealt with, not the cases against tribal chiefs. The feeling in Balochistan is that they are at war with Pakistan and Pakistani army in Balochistan is an occupation force. When a Baloch says that he’s a Baloch first he’s told to say he’s a Pakistani first and then a Baloch, but are they being treated like a citizen of this country? Their deprivation forces them to think that they are Baloch first, not any kind of nationalist arrogance. They’re being discriminated just because of being Baloch. If Pakistan can’t keep the people of one of its provinces happy, then what is the point in condemning their call for independence. Its like keeping a bird in a cage without any food and then shooting it when it tries to escape. Either feed it or let it find its own food.

Had the Pakistani politicians been less selfish and more astute, they would have considered the resolution presented by an ‘idle’ American politician as a warning bell and would have started improving the standard of living of Baloch people and restoring their rights sincerely, instead of attempting to bribe their unelected chiefs. The interesting thing is that the attempts to bribe the chiefs have been failed as Harbiyar Marri has rejected Rehman Malik’s offer to withdraw cases against him stating that the Interior Minister was not sincere and had no concern about the sufferings of Baloch people as he deployed frontier corps in the province for killing them. its about time for the Pakistani politicians to keep their personal interests aside for a moment and sincerely restore the rights of Baloch people instead of bribing their chiefs. Had the government been sincere to the Baloch people, it wouldn’t have had any need to deal with their chiefs. Besides, the people of Balochistan should also try to resolve the issues peacefully instead of resorting to violence. Use of force makes their case weaker. They should stop following their chiefs blindly and start representing themselves democratically. Half of the problems of Balochistan would be solved automatically if Baloch people bring common people from amongst them into their provincial assembly instead of tribal chiefs. The solution is never complex if there are sincere people to solve the problem.